If you start using the demo account and to predict currency movements
then you will find a typical trouble beginners: "I know what has
happened today, but what about the next movement? There is no sign
whatsoever that I can read because the indicator does not appear a few
steps in front of the price but the exactly at the moment the price is
.
It is very reasonable because the indikatfor predict price based on
previous data alias based on statistical data. So in short, technical
indicators using data movement that has happened, put it in the formula
and then memproyeksikannya to the fore. Well sounds cool ... But this is
also a problem because we all know that what happens in the future is
not necessarily the same as what is happening in the present. The
strength of rising prices in the future is not necessarily equal to the
strength of the price increase in the present. Likewise issues going on.
Well this is the shortage of technical indicators. He just
use the past to see the future. Similar to a political analyst or
football commentators deh. But we all know that that ball round. Not
necessarily the team A win yesterday and then tomorrow could win again
against team b.
This deficiency was later solved in several
ways. Fundamental analysts use the economic news for mengeliminir these
deficiencies and said technical analysis indeed says it is. Well, the
technical analyst is not to be outdone. Eventually they use chaos theory
and pattern recognition for mengeliminir these deficiencies. Cool
right?
The rabbit problem
in the year 1240 Leornardo
Pissano Fibonacci discovered a sequence named after the name itself
that is the Fibonacci sequence. This series was intended to be used to
answer a math question a classic about the rabbits. Just intermezo,
rabbit question reads thus:
"a man put a pair of Rabbits in a
place surrounded by a wall so that it is isolated by the outside world.
How many pairs of rabbits that are generated when a pair of rabbits
produce a pair of other rabbit will also be productive in the next and
so on? "
Come on, anyone is able to count them? Do I hear
anyone replied: "a lot of bu guruuuu ..." Ah it answers the child
sitting duck. We will already be in a Running Pig, don't malu-maluin so
ah. Is there another answer?
" The answer is still a pair of bu, because kelincinya are both male. " Duh ... never created a cliché so
dong. Hahaha, I myself also don't ever count them manually. However the
Fibonacci successfully solve it by creating a series known as the
Fibonacci sequence.
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 ...
This is the series that answers the problem of rabbits. So the answer
to the rabbit is 144 pairs in sequence to 12. It is obtained from the
sum of the two previous series, namely 89 + 56.
Well, lived
had apparently lived a series issued this Bonacci family members not
only solve the rabbit but into a pattern of modern physics calculations
in specialized branches of chaos theory. Chaos Theory is a branch of
mathematics and physics also are discussing a random movement pattern is
irregular, however. Random because it is never occupies the same
coordinate point every time it moves. Irregular because it is always in
the same direction. Cotohnya is the movement of the wings on a
butterfly. Although irregular, the movement of a butterfly's wings is
always the same from time to time i.e. up and down despite never occupy
the same point every time you move. That is what is meant by chaos
theory. Yes. .. Yes. .. I know this is not very correlated with our
forex discussion. From butterflies to bunnies.
Well, that
happened on the market more or less are the same. Although it looks
irregular in its movement, technical analysts argue basically remains
the currency movements have a pattern that can be traced. Then
dikeluarkanlah the Fibonacci sequence to extract this price movement.
Well this is the cause why Fibonacci finally became the science of
technical analysis.
Now let's see the Fibonacci sequence again:
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 ...
If I were to Un with Un-1 then the result will be like this:
2:1 = 2
3:2 = 1.5
. 5:3 = 1.67
8:5 = 1.0
= 1,625 8 13:21:13
= 1.62
... ... ...
144:89 = 1.62
well, see a golden ratio of 1.62. Then how about we flip? In the same
way you will find a another ratio i.e. 0618. Or if you are diligent to
divide a specific sequence with another sequence then you will find the
ratio-the ratio of other value constant from series to series. The
following is the ratio-the ratio used in the use of Fibonacci in forex:
0382, 0500, 0236, 0618, and 0764. Well where did those numbers come
from, please look for yourself
hehehe.
Fibonacci Forex
Ok, we got into the essence of the use of Fibonacci. Previously,
discussion of the material of our schools this time will only discuss
the Fibonacci Retracement only. You need to know that Fibonacci has 4
variants namely Fibonacci Retracement, Arc, Fan and Expansion
.
Fibonacci is useful for determining the point of support and ressistance
of price movement. Its use is quite simple. Connecting the Swing
between "High" with "Swing Low" price. O Yes, before you need to know
whether the Swing High Swing Low and it.
Swing High is a
candlestick that lies between candlestick-candlestick is higher on the
right and left. While the Swing Low Swing High in the reverse part that
is lower than the candle on the right side.
Fibonacci Arc
arc means bow or arch. And indeed the shape of the
arc resembling a bow. Fibonacci Arc obtained by pulling a line of
virtual extreme point of the two is happening. Lowest prices with the
highest price, and then three lines of the arc described by the central
values are on the line arc second, third line arc involving the ratio
Fibonacci 38.2% level, 50.0% and 38.4%.
On the picture above to see that in point 1, 2, and 3 provide indication
of level of support and resistance when prices are moving up and down.
Interpretation of the arc involves anticipation towards the level of
support and resistance when prices approach the arc. Common techniques
used are using a combination of Fibonacci Arc and the Fibonacci Fan line
and get the support and resistance of the line the second meeting
point. But a meeting point that representative and significant basis for
analysis between Fibonacci Arc with the Fibonacci Fan won't be too
often can be found. This can be caused by the scale of the graph.
Support and resistance resulting from the meeting point between the
Fibonacci Arc with the Fibonacci fan is a support and resistance is
strong.
Fibonacci Fan
Fibonacci Fan Line obtained by describing the virtual
trend lines connecting the lowest prices with the highest price or vice
versa. Fibbonacci fan generates three trend lines with a Fibonacci
level was at 38.2%, 50% and 38.4%.
Tuesday, September 6, 2016
2. how to know indicator Fibonacci Retracement Forex
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