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Showing posts with label running pig. Show all posts
Showing posts with label running pig. Show all posts

Thursday, September 15, 2016

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10. Last Words For Piggers



Congratulations! You have completed the class Running Pig. At least now you can already perform technical analysis and fundamental to good use. Technically the ability of Your analysis is complete. The task of living and increased flying hours in trading
daily. Try to check how Your demo account during development. Expected you already have the ability to use the platform, technical and fundamental analysis to predict price movement. This is a very valuable capital in your trading. Stay 2 more things you need to know then you already does away with real trading. The second is the knowledge about the Money/Risk Management and Trading Psychology. The second thing we will discuss in our last class: Hunting Fox.

Can I open a real account now? If the goal is to practice (some people like to practice with real money to be able to feel how the actual trading with a real account) then the answer is PERMISSIBLE. Even the fact this is the right time for you to try if you can apply your trading during at demo on real account.

However if the goal to direct towards profit, well wait. There are still some classes that need to be attended. There are still a few lessons. There are still some "small" knowledge that can make you do not need to fall awake many times in trade. However, for these last classes try to ask some of these things to yourself during the trade with a demo:

  • How to condition Your demo account profit or loss?
  • If the profit is that because the mere guess-guess mangosteen or indeed because Your analysis accurate?
  • If loss, why?
  • How much point Taking Profit and Stop Loss you?
  • How large the losses in a row you've experienced during the try demo (other name Max Drawdown)?
  • What technical indicators do you use? Why use it?
  • How do you handle the news at the time of the trade? Avoid or exploit it?
  • What model your trading? Swinger, day trader or scalper?
  • What time do your best trading?

Well at least 9 questions above are enough to look back at how your current trading conditions.
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9. Market Volatility




The next lesson, let me bring you to compare price movements in a few hours. This time the lesson will discuss about the best hours for trade and relation to the volume of forex transactions.


market_time

 The image above is the look of the GBPUSD use metatrader for 24 hours using the time frame of 15 minutes. This means that one candlestick charts represents the movement of the DOLLAR for 15 minutes.

So knowing when the market opened hours will greatly help us to find out how the currency movements. And don't forget to equalize with a currency that We are operating with. As an example let's say We trade GBPUSD then it is important for us to know what time the market United Kingdom opened and what time does the US market opened. The second meeting took place when the opening hours and when the market is closed? Well if you trade USDJPY, then when the British market opened and how it relates to trading we are not problems at all. Instead we must know when to trade Yen many do and also with

USD. That is why if You trade currencies on European countries or the United Kingdom most movements occur at night. If you look at the charts the morning GBPUSD, it felt really sluggish price moves. Most fundamental news pertaining to the State in question also appears on the hours in which the marketnya is opened. This of course adds to the liveliness of the
price. Now the question is precisely what hours the market is opened. What if I trade the AUD? What time does market AUD opened? Don't worry, learn Forex has provided his summary for you. Note the picture below:



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The area that is given the color green is where the market is held. For example, the JPY market opened from 7:00 until 15:00 PM EST or if replaced with format GMT be 00.00 – 08.00 GMT. Thus it can be said at the Yen in active trading. Contrary to market the USD, the market opened at 8 pm until 04.00 PM morning. That's why at night it feels USD more active moves. Opening hours of the market we can find out why the pair USDJPY loses active compared with GBPUSD e.g. in trade each day. And he said there was at the time of the second meeting of the existing market. On the second market GBPUSD met between 20.00 until 23.00 where both markets opened. While the USDJPY has never had hours wherein a second market opened. That's why the DOLLAR is very active in the 20.00 to 23.00 pm while the USDJPY was not very active all day long even though it cannot be also said to be sleeping at all.
Well this will help you to adjust when the best hours in the trade for you personally. If you are an employee who worked from morning to evening so it does not have enough time to see currency movements through Office then maybe you can trade at night. Not only helps so that the concentration of jobs you do not split (so the Boss grumpy) but also in the evening price move faster so time to wait the price reaches the point of Taking Profit becomes shorter. Bertradinglah on the European and US currencies. For example EURUSD, USDCHF GBPUSD.
or
If you are a retiree or a housewife who in fact have enough time observing the movement of the currency, there is no harm in trading on AUDUSD USDJPY or IE countries that the difference in time is not too far with Indonesia or Malaysia where we live

. It should be noted also that sometimes a faster movement of the currency and high volatility does not always ensure that we obtain a profit. If you are a pure technical analysts then often the hours by the time the market opened was an annoying hours because technical analysis We often sidetracked because of the large number of issues and fundamental news which could lead to price moves with active all. Those who trade using technical analysis tends to prefer a quiet situation and can be predicted by a number of their indicators. That's why a lot of trade even in the morning that even though the movement happens with sluggish once but at least the currency can be predicted with better. Now from here, specify how You want to trade? If you prefer technical analysis, it is better to avoid the fundamental news that emerged at a time when the market is open. Bertradinglah it is precisely at a time when the market is being closed to get the best results. Conversely, if you like a crowd and acceleration into the main factor then look for the hours in which the market is opened.
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8. News Filtering

There are approximately 50 fundamental news which could affect the movement of the currency you tradingkan. But not all the news influential significantly. Some of them can make a currency move drastically. Others only give rise to small ripples and not enough means to make a trading profit. Any news that are important and which are not important?
Now it's become an issue that is important if we want to be a trader each time and not familiar with the season. Today when the article is created there are about 10 fundamental noteworthy news ranging from interest rate decisions to subject the issue of employment change.

One of the keywords if we want to master the fundamental factor in the forex is read it! To be able to know that an important fundamental news or not is indeed the necessary experience and knowledge. But there are also some websites that are kind enough to provide a criterion for any news whether the news is not important, important or very important. Well blessed if we get it
For news items is not important is good indeed to ignore it and not connecting with your trading altogether because only insignificant influence and trading merecoki us. But the news such as Interest rate and Employment Change is dangerous to ignore.

The other thing you need to note also is the currency pair that You tradingkan. If you trade AUDUSD, then simply look at the news the two countries alone. If interest rates rise News appears but it comes from Canada yes no need to watch out for. Disregard it. However, for AUD You also need to know what is happening with his neighbor state edged New Zealand money i.e. NZD (New Zealand) because they are very close and similar to each other.

Well the question any news that need my attention and which ones do not have to?

Aside from resume websites that you use, you need to understand the important news related to your trading. We've been studying it on the discussion earlier that the website publisher 5 news forex signals news anywhere not too influential, quite influential or very influential towards the currency movements.

In addition it has also delivered the news that only countries where their currency You tradingkan you need to pay attention to. For example if you trade GBPUSD then suffice we see news of both the country of course. Although there are important news that will be issued later today but it is news from countries such as Canada, yes quite neglected only.

But both of the above, often it is not enough. Some newcomers experience problems related to fundamental analysis because of a lack of understanding about the detail of every rumor in the market and news that appears. But don't worry, the article this time will help you to cope with both

. Regarding the first issue. Distance and speed of the circulating rumor becomes important here. The problem is we don't know what is going on regarding the opinion of the overall market. Most forex transactions occur on foreign exchanges. During the action the massive purchase or sale because of rumors circulating and not because of fundamental news we'll be hassle because it truly does not know what is going on. For that we need access that can help us know information is being circulated in the market at a time when we are trading. Information sources which can accommodate how market conditions and should be updated quickly. Fortunately, if we use the platforms of GAIN Capital, it provided. If you pay attention to the platform, there is a tab called "COMMENTARY" on the right side of the platform is called FOREX Insider. This tab specifically discusses various "trinkets" trading in everyday life such as how the market conditions at the time of these hours and rumors-rumours circulating at the time when there is. News that appears not too long winded detail and yet that's precisely the benefits. This made news on FOREX Insider can be updated quickly even approaching realtime. This tab is different with the Daily Fx Analysis on other parts of the platform that addresses the forex news but is more comprehensive. Because it is more comprehensive then the update also takes time.

 There is a lot of information-important information you can obtain by using this Insider FOREX window. Sometimes FOREX Insider featuring the purchase or sale of a number of large banks that can affect the movement of the market. Or information about the issues the United Kingdom inflation is on the rise at the time of this writing is created. I hope FOREX Insider can help you in your trading and deal with the outstanding issues around market.

Well now with regards to the news that emerged and which are important and which are not, as has been discussed, the website can help you to sort out where the news is important and where yan did not. But it is better for you to be able to understand more details about the news that you need to check out. For example, the Retail Sale. From the explanation in the previous chapter of this indicator sub classified as important. But did you know what Retail Sales then? Why if Retail Sales rising currency could rise? Well if You didn't already know, it's good you read it start from now on.

On learning Forex fundamental good article there are dozens of important or very important for you to learn. Everything in the Indonesian Language to make it easier you learn it. But to make it easier for your current School, here attached some economic news that you need to check out along with a brief description and its effects on the currency. Remember that you can always find out more detailed information on fundamental news section Fundamental analysis on this website
 
1. Average Earning Index (AEI or commonly called the Average Earning only): 
economic news is usually issued by the United Kingdom and Canada. AEI provides information workers income and its relation to the inflation rate through the other fundamental indicators called RPI (Retail Prices Index). When AEI increase faster than RPI then this is an indication that the wages rising faster than price increases of goods. This is good for the economy of a country but disruptive is a soaring inflation rate
. On the forex trading in inflation increase then the currencies are likely to be strengthened due to the expectations of the growing tribe of bung. Thus it can be concluded when AEI then increase the currency will rise, too. AEI belongs to high volatility expected indicator. 

2. Chicago PMI indicator: 
this is a fundamentally specially issued by the United States. Chicago PMI (PMI or only) provides information up or decline in levels of spending the purchasing manager in Chicago who represents many manufacturing industries. The rise of this indicator is an indication of the rise of the currency USD. PMI belongs to high volatility expected indicator. Oh yes, it stands for PMI Purchasing Manager's Index

3. The Consumer Price Index (CPI)
the United Kingdom and the United States is the country that is most often experienced the ups and downs of the currency due to CPI News. The CPI is the deciding indiakator inflation rate on the consumer point. The CPI itself helps determine how the magnitude of consumer confidence in one month in making a purchase. If the CPI rises then the currency of the country in question will also join up. CPI belongs to medium volatility indicators expected CPI calculation but when done outside the food and energy sectors then the CPI can be high volatility expected a fundamental indicator because both sectors is the sector most often changed from time to time. The regular CPI issued around the 13th of each month at 7:30 p.m. EDT (13.30 GMT)

4. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 
Almost everyone knows what is GDP. The Language Of Indonesian Gross Domestic Product. GDP is one of the indicators of fundamental importance in the everyday life of our forex. If GDP is rising then simply put the currency will strengthen due to the production of a country also increases.

5. Money Supply: 
this indicator measures three things, namely the amount of money in circulation in the community in the form of coins or paper, the size of bank loans to the public and the number of changes in the value of the debt that has not been repaid by the Government. The rise in Money Supply will usually cause the currency strengthened.


6. Non Farm Payrolls: 
this is one of the most eagerly awaited news by most fundamental trader. Non Farm Payroll (issued by the US) appears once a month on Friday the first week. Non Farm Payrolls to measure the magnitude of the expenditure of the Government in the payment of salaries outside the agricultural sector compared to the previous month. Increasing the Non Farm Payrolls could lead to currency strengthened drastically in a split tens to a few hundred points. So NFP can be classified as an indicator of very high volatility expected.

7. the Producers Price Index (PPI)
PPI is an indicator measuring inflation rate the same as CPI. Does it matter if the CPI was on the side of consumers then the PPI measures the inflation rate from the manufacturer. Rising prices of raw materials, cost of transportation and various production components become part of the calculation of the PPI. If the PPI increase then the currency would strengthen. The regular PPI is issued about the 11th of every month at 20.30 WIB (13.30 GMT). PPI belongs to high voltility expected indicator. 

8. Retail Sales:
 Retail Sales recorded a total sales of goods in the sector but does not include services because the measurement of services belongs to difficult. Retail Sales is one good indicator to measure the level of consumer spending. Usually bil AEI (Averaga Earning Index) increase then Retail Sales will also increase because of rising wages inevitably followed the rising consumption. When Retail Sales go up then the currencies will also rise in value. Retail Sales were issued around the 12th of each month at 7:30 p.m. EDT (13.30 GMT) 

9. Trade Balance: 
Trade Balance is the difference between the value of exports minus the value of imports of a country. Minus value indicates greater import than its export and vice versa if it showed positive espor greater than imports. Most countries that are expanding or developing country trade had a negative Balance of Trade. However in the money market, the positive value of Trade Balance then strengthened the value of the currencies of these countries.

10. ISM Manufacturing Index (ISM-MI): 
Insititute of Supply Management Manufacturing Index is an indicator of the largest fundamental indicators for measuring the manufacturing index. Issued on the first day of the working hours of each month, the ISM-MI surver results is more than 20 manufacturing industries and involves 300 purchasing managers in America. How reading pretty much the same, if the ISM-MI experienced a rise of course concerned the country's currency will strengthen.

11. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI): 
is an indicator that measures the degree of belief in a consumer survey in 5000 and their views towards economic prospects in the future. CCI issued Tuesday at the end of the month at 22:00 GMT (15:00 GMT). When CCI rising it means that consumer confidence is rising toward economic development and resulting in the currency could rise. CCI belongs to Moderate Volatility Expected indicator. 

12. Interest Rate Statement: 
every month the Central Bank every country always announced the policy of central bank interest rates as a benchmark for other banks in the country. His decision does go up, down or stay. The interest rates will ultimately determine the magnitude of the interest rates of deposits, credits, savings and a variety of other pinjam-meminjam policy on banking in the country. It can be said the policy interest rate is one of the Central Bank's final action against various economic conditions that occurred in the country.

Money market including the types of investments that are sensitive to interest rate changes. Especially if the interest rate changes are not predictable in advance by the market. Simply put if there is a rise in interest rates then it can be said that the currency would rise dramatically and vice versa if the decline in interest rates then the currency would experience attenuation with drastic anyway. Most developed countries hold back the rate of interest is to inhibit the terparkirnya tribe of the funds in the Bank and not processed into investing in the real world. Instead on developing countries is usually the Government Printing too much money to finance development activities. It is necessary for policy interest rates are more competitive in order to attract too much money floating around on the market by way of making the interest savings and deposits look attractive. At the time of this writing is made, interest rates have on Japan rate 0.5% while the US and United Kingdom in succession at the level of 5.25% and 5.50%. Indonesian? Macro economic condition of Indonesia slightly improved since early 2007 so that the flower of the tribes descended from 9.5% to 8.25%
. Remember that you can anytime read the resumes of the above fundamental news in other parts of this website that address the specific article about the fundamentals. The more detail you know would further assist you in your trading.
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7. GOLD & Australian Dollar


If earlier we've been studying the crude oil price link with the US Dollar, Dollar Canada and Norwegian Krona, this time we re going to learn forex with regard the commodity markets in particular the price of gold. If the oil is most concerned with the US Dollar, how about gold? With a commodity currency is concerned? Let's browse together!

Before the inception of money, gold has long been used as the comparison of the goods and the exchange rate for the needs of human beings. Its rust resistant, it is not easy to unravel, and the shapely certainly makes this one mine of material known as mine. Along with silver and Platinum, gold is known as the precious metals. Even though along with silver and Platinum, gold remains the preferred

. In the development of modern economics, was originally the central banks of many countries guarantee the exchange rate of its currency with gold. The meaning of this: as we know together that modern money are no longer made of gold (boro-boro, lha money 500 Silver Cook made of gold?) but instead of paper. Thus the actual intrinsic value (real value) could be said to be very cheap or virtually non-existent. Imagine for a few dozen years ago, where developing countries had recently become independent and the central bank was established. Issuing banknotes as exchange rates can open doubts society is it true the same valuable money with other stuff that does have a high intrinsic value. Well as how Lordship, the Government at that time generally dare to claim that paper money issued by them is guaranteed by the State-owned gold reserves. This means that if the community did not feel confident with money spent on central banks, they can just be exchanging them back with gold. Of course the practical side is reduced compared to passing trade paper money, but this is the way the world community first trust paper money each State as a valid exchange rate.

Walking with time and the formation of modern civilization, the central bank gradually no longer guarantees the paper money which they spend with gold and made gold precisely as one commodity trade as well as other stuff out there. This is because public confidence has been much better against his Government. Mere information, Bank Indonesia also kok guarantee Rp they spend with gold in the early independence of Indonesia

. Well, that's the history of gold. But whether thus gold is no longer valuable modern world? Of course not. Although not used as legal payment instrument again, gold remains the gold. Its value is recognized in the world as well as the honesty that is recognized everywhere we go in the world. Its main uses are as jewelry. Some electronic component also requires the use of a little gold due to the nature of the conductance and its power is much better compared to copper (Yes if not understand conductance does nothing, we will not use it in trading forex or gold).

In the days where the mining exchange traded commodities such as gold, is currently also one of the main commodities traded along with other commodities such as petroleum, cotton, wheat, milk and many others. In Indonesia it is indeed no commodity exchanges like this but the foreign community is already very familiar with commodity futures perdangangan

. Gold also traded at times other than being reserves or reserves and for some Government or big institutions. At the moment the exchange rate of the U.S. Dollar down, gold and oil usually being one of the targets of the product that are hunted to replace the Dollar plummets.

Thus, it can be said to be quite sexy gold this time. But what is the practical side? Thus, one of the largest gold producing countries in the world today is Australia. The Kangaroo country is indeed known as the country's exporters of mining goods. More than 50% of the products they export is commodities include precious metals. Look at the statistics below:


emas-dan-aud-gambar-1.gif
















We can see together that mines and fuel is Australia's main export. Hence how large exports of gold Australia? Not great-very big kok, major exports for the year 2007 the non monetary gold Australia "just" amounted to 11.4 billion dollars Australia. Not great doesn't it?

hehehe. For many traders, particularly those that trade long term, trade Dollar Australia the same meaning with the gold trade. A similar movement is made in gold prices and the exchange rate of the country influence each other. Let's look at the example riilnya below:


emas-dan-aud-gambar-2.gif


















We can see with that price AUDUSD very mrip with gold price also compared against the American Dollar (XAUUSD). Visible when gold was rising, in a few months to years ahead will affect the exchange rate of AUD against USD. Logically this does indeed allow export no impact because it was also against the currency exchange rates. But gradually will definitely be affected.

Now look back on the pictures above especially since 2002. We recall that the year 2000 forward is the period where internet use is spreading and also affects the way investors trade forex. The Internet has made everything progress very rapidly and in real time. It also has a direct bearing on the price of gold and the exchange rate against the AUDUSD. That's why when we see along the year 2002 to 2006 from the figure above, and XAUUSD AUDUSD is very similar to its movement, unlike previous years where gold moving much earlier than CURRENT DAILY.

 This similarity is indeed not only caused one of the biggest export of Aussie gold but is now a sort of kemakluman common among traders of the world that when the gold price goes up then the "supposed" exchange rate AUD also climbed against the U.S. Dollar. And vice versa when it dropped against the Dollar then the AUD is also "should" go down against the Dollar. It becomes a psychological mindset that many in the head trader since the 2000s thus causing into a sort of "self prophecy" for traders. They believe when XAUUSD ride then buy AUDUSD ride so that action also carried out simultaneously against AUDUSD and causes the AUD really terkerek up against the Dollar. Well up here we hope you understand.

OK Let's conclude our lesson: AUDUSD has similar movement patterns XAUUSD (gold prices)

From the practical side we can do action Buy AUDUSD if we know the price of gold rising drastically and most likely will still continue to climb. Of course in practice is not absolutely so. You still have to customize it with the technical analysis that you have and also your own trading style. Otherwise why would there be lessons technical analysis in Forex school we this? OK see you in the next lesson.
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6. how to read Fundamental Analysis

This sunny day we will study another part of forex analytics. An art to predict currency movements by looking at the psychological market and news that may be affected. Well this time we will learn about Fundamental analysis.

You ever try playing with pure technical analysis would certainly know that at certain hours and usually in the evening technical analysis often does not function properly. When all indicators are supporting that prices will move up but the fact that all of a sudden the price down dramatically without any reason whatever.

In the first few months I Learn forex trading this is often times I experienced. At certain hours it looks like prices are not following the laws of technical analysis and tend to move away in the absence of clarity. After studying for so long I finally understand that turns these factors exist at named the psychology of the market or market sentiment or whatever his name but who called clearly influenced by news and rumors circulating in the market. 


Fundamental analysis is the analysis of special section examines matters of this kind. Basically the fundamental analysis combines news items in sectors of the economy, politics and security in a country and combine that with how the market reaction against the presented news to be able to find out where the price is about to move.

Keywords of this analysis is on 2 words IE demmand and supply. Essentially the market makers are human, too. By measuring the more those who do purchase action (demmand) or reverse action selling (supply) then we can know where prices will move. In a nutshell if demmand (Indonesian language this is a request. Still remember the school time in high school used to be?) increased while the supply remains so as the people in the motherland, the price will soon be creeping up. And vice versa when supply (offer) increased but then the price will keep demmand began to fall due to the many outstanding items in the market. Two things this is what try known by fundamental analysis.

Well seeing as it is all done by the actors of the market then the mass psychology as it applies in the forex world. When the economic news appears for example that reported that the currency of a country will tend to weaken so fundamental analysis served to analyse the news will appear then if these news appear how it relates to the reaction of the market. Sometimes due to the market too often driven by emotion for a moment, without any economic news often occurs the action of the increase or decrease in the price of the currency. Usually this is due to shifts in supply due to demmand parties performing the action of certain purchases or sales in large numbers.


These kinds of Fundamental News

Ok, above already explained that in fundamental analysis of the factors that most plays is named as news. Most fundamental news that play a role in determining the ups and downs of the currency rate is economic news. Information such as the unemployment rate, consumer confidence index and the manufacturer or other similar news determines whether a currency will be strengthened or weakened precisely against any other currency pair.

Most of the news that boils down to the ups and downs of inflation in a country. In a situation where inflation starts to rise then the direction is usually the central bank will raise interest rates. The rise in interest rates in a country usually followed a rise in temporary (however large) on its currency. Logically this can be caused because the banking sector also raise interest rates including the tribe's savings and deposits. This has sparked a growing number of funds collected in the bank so that the money in circulation in the market will be reduced. Law suits demmand supply when the supply is reduced then the prices will also be increased. Even if the banks in the countries concerned did not join the suit that interest rates there are psychology and trader's view remains that way. As a result they also undertook action buy which will cause increased demmand. It is becoming a kind of self-prophecy (the fulfillment of what was convinced by himself) will be what market trust.

In forex trading, UPS and downs of interest rates is a final decision where previously initiated by the inflation data at the level of the consumer and the manufacturer. This news also will first affect the currency movements so that you should not consider only the news of rising tribal bungalah.

There are dozens of fundamental news which could affect the future market movements. There are important fundamental news to note there are also fundamental news that are not needed at all because of various factors. In this case it is indeed important to sort out the fundamental news is important and not important. It will we learn in the next discussion is entitled "fundamental news filter"

the following is an example of the display of fundamental news on forex trading Forex learning and usage.

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The picture above is of fundamental news daily display of this website. Note at the top there is a header with the title Date, day, Hours, etc. The following caption:

Date: date Recorded how news will be issued. Example: for Retail Sales AUD will be issued May 8, 2007.

Day: the day that news was issued. In one week, there is a 7 day yet for forex usually Saturday and Sunday passed because there is no important news and market close.

PM: this is the hour at the time of the news release. Note on learning Forex time format is in GMT. So if you live in Central Indonesia, add one hour. Some foreign forex website using a time format GMT or EST To GMT to EDT, add 7 hours. So if your website is written 12 GMT that it is 19:00. For EST (or ET) add + 12 to be pm. Note also that forex knows no hours of rubber. If the scheduled news appeared hours 6.00 6.00 hours right then the news will get out. So Your clock so that proper calibration.

Country: name of the country that issued the fundamental news. Match the currency you tradingkan. To EUR, notice the news from Germany and France.

News: News Name issued.

Impact: well, in two known code learn Forex impact i.e. medium and high volatility. The medium is marked with orange color as for the high marked in red. For news on low volatility is not noted by learning Forex because in our opinion there is no point
.

Actual: If time has gone through a day where the news is released then the results will be issued on this column. For example for Retail Sales of AUD since news was launched on May 8, then the figures on actual already exists that is 1.1%. This article was created on May 10, 7.

Forecast: Is forecast or prediction of analysts about how the numbers might go out on news. Forecast is used as a benchmark for news that will appear. The actual result is larger or smaller than the forecast presents to influence how the currency will move

. Previous: data for the news in the previous period. If the news appears once a month then the previous data on the previous month. It is useful also as patokkan against actual and forecast.

Well with the table above you now know what will happen and at how a news will be issued. Thus, we can decide that we will be trading at these hours or not. Suppose you want to trade at the moment the news came out then you need to do is first of all of course see the news related to the currency that You tradingkan

. After that the next step is to identify whether the news is important or not important. The news was given a code orange (medium volatility expected) is news that can make active moves prices around 30 points when the news emerged. While news that coded red (high volatility expected) can make a currency move 50-150 points when the news was released. Quite big isn't it?

After you determine the time and identify the news will appear then the next step is to look at the column and the previous forecast. The center of all of this exists on the forecast. Let's take the example of brief, namely Retail Sales Retail Sales. AUD is an index that measures the level of sales in the retail sector. This positive effect conferring indicators rise against currency movements.

Well now, compare how the magnitude of the Retail Sales month yesterday with the forecast displayed. Say for instance a case this time forecast shows more than prevoius then this data resulted in the news out before the currency could be strengthened gradually. This is due to the emergence of market sentiment that saw that the predictions better than previous data so that market participants do action buy even before the news was issued. The same behavior also occurs if the forecast is smaller than the prevoiusnya. In a State so then the currency would tend to weaken due to the action of the sell happen.

Then the actual value at the time it was announced, then there will be three possibilities that may occur:

1. The actual value is greater than the forecast: in the case of Retail Sales then this results in currency will strengthen even further because the result it turned out much better than expected.

2. the actual Value of the forecast but still above the prevoius: in our case, this would result in weakening currencies because it turns out that what didn't happen the market expected.

3. the actual Value under forecast and previous: of course the currency will weaken quickly because it turns out that the calculation of the forecast misses far by
fact. Well this is a State that occurs when you look at the news. O Yes, by the way there are some news that can be classed as news Super High Volatility. News like this can be in the form of economic news or security issues is taking place. In a State such as occurred in the United Kingdom bomb detonation hence it also effect on currency movements. Conditions such as these can soon lost investor confidence and lead to weakened currencies quickly. As for economic news that is news Super High classed as interest rate decisions (interest rate decission) and also report the payment of salaries outside the agricultural sector (Non Farm Payroll). Both these news could result in price moves quickly and also with a large spike. So, out of the news. At the next session we will learn the news anywhere is important and which are not. To meet the next processed entitled: filter news.
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5. Trading with Time Frame

Until this subject matter in your ability to do analysis of market movements have been very good. You have been able to perform technical analysis with various indicators even added a little Elliott or Fibonacci. We congratulate! At least you have learned to trade forex using the analysis and no longer do calculate the studs or analysis of guess-guess the fruit mangosteen.
If cared for well then you will find that on many charts shown used a variety of different time frame. Sometimes used timeframe D1 (daily) or sometimes used H1 (1 hour). What does it mean? Well in trading, often we do not just simply using one graph only for one currency pair eye where we trade. It is wise to trading with multiple time frame.

The use of various time frame will help us to determine 2 things namely:

long-term global Trend is going

the right time to do the Buy/Sell execution


both of the above are crucial part in trade. Imagine if you do not know the long-term trend is going on. And because the graph of 1 hour or 15 minutes you show the trend is being lead to a downtrend then we open sell position. While in fact the trend in the long run shows prices are going through the Ascension. Now what will happen?

In a short period of time (a few hours ahead) When Your technical analysis valid enough maybe your position will profit but not if you hold your position until the days for example. Because in daily price trend indicates the direction of the ride then slowly position the profit you will soon turn into minuses. That wretched again if you are not using a Stop Loss so likely Margin Call will occur. Up here the big hassles will come soon including the social effects that arise as you experience the loss.

Well this is where the importance of Us using multiple time frames in the trade. Most traders use a larger time frame to determine long-term trends such as a 4 h (4 hours) or D1 (daily). Whereas to determine uptake position then you need a shorter time frame could be 15 m (15 minutes) or H1 (1 hour). Now matter which one is used, it all depends with how your trading. Everyone has differing trading cycles. There is an open position and after days or even up to a month of the new position is closed (this is called a swing trader) or some are just within hours of its position already opened and closed many times. Let us learn one by one.

Swing Trader, Day Trader and Scalper

as already explained above that everyone has its own trading cycle. Some people due to time keterbatasaan can not see the price at any time (like me. ..) so choose to behave like a more passive policy a Warren Buffet.

There are also some people who have the time and sufficient access allowing it to monitor the price movement and try to take the maximum profit possible in the world of forex. Thus he tried to open a trading position daily.

Swing Trader is
those who decided the first way trading. The Swing trader tends to hold his position until berhar days up to several months. Some even hold his position up to one year! A trader with a pattern like this tend to wait until the price is at his best position and then aiming to open a number of the lot and put a big enough profit target. They usually open a position only at the very extreme conditions where prices are very high or very low rate according to the history of the movement in the last few weeks. Because these conditions are not too frequent then once they get the chance then chased the target is very large and well balanced with sufficient funds to withstand price movements because they usually determine the Stop Loss point is also larger. That's why the Swinger is often start trading them with hefty capital of about $ 3000 for a mini trading.

The Swinger more often use the daily time frame or 4 h to determine their long-term trend. For decision making Buy or Sell, usually they simply use graph 1 h only. The meaning of this: at a time when they were about to find a fitting moment to open a position then they will open the chart 1 d or 4 h them. Then they determine whether a trend is happening when in graph 1 d. If the trend shows an uptrend towards the situation with then they will simply look for a Buy and a sell position will not open at all.

Next they'll be looking for the right time to open a position. The trick is to wait for the H1 chart is in the same direction with D1. This means that if D1 shows the direction up Swinger will wait time where H1 is also showing the direction of the Board. After that a Buy else done. When they entered the then usually they will determine how their profit target. The average trader by type like this will pursue profit target above 100 points so that it takes a few days to a few weeks to get there.

The other thing that needs to be known is the Swinger is even not hesitate doing action counter trend only to take the opening position. For example, when prices had already reached the area jenuhnya (let's say the Overbought) then they are not afraid to take a position Sell despite rising trend has not yet ended. Their assumption is for the sake of saving time because they mostly do not like their ongoing graphic monitor. That's why they have enough capital to withstand a large price movement such assuming that it is no longer the price will move down even though at the moment still being in the rising trend.

Advantages of trading with a model like this is there first on the relatively easier analysis. Keep in mind that the greater the time frame that we use then it will be easier for us to predict price movement. Instead the smaller time frame being used it will be increasingly difficult for us to predict the movement correctly. This is because with a smaller time frame charts often more jagged (whipsaw) making it difficult to read the main trend.

Other conveniences are on the side of the psychological pressure. Due to the Swinger used the larger time frame then they usually do not need to monitor the movement of a graph every hour or every minute. Enough only once in a day is not a problem. As a result they will be more comfortable psychologically and escape from the pressures of the market in each movement. Well the happier life, isn't it? And for the same reason they usually can do their daily activities in addition to trading with good

. The drawback? Of course there is! The most fundamental flaws in the pattern of trade with a Swing as it is on the issue of capital. You can not do Swing trading only with a capital of $ 500! Due to Stop Loss imposed long enough then usually they need capital does little to trade. At least $ 2000. It was also very minimal. Not to mention if they are playing is not enough with just 1 lot only for one opening position, then the included capital could reach several times the ranging $ 4000 even up to tens of thousands of dollars.
The second issue in swing trading is there on occasion. Often the Swinger it could not open position while the other type of trader as Day Trader or Scalper can profit on the menangguk movement. The cause was an opportunity for the Swinger is far less than other types of traders. That's because they have to wait for the price is at the second extreme point to open position. When the price was playing at the mediannya (Central line) then they can't do anything other than wait. A tedious job!


Day Trader is a trader with models daily. This type of trader usually opens its position and close the same day. The longest is only in the range of a few days and very rarely get through a week of walking. That is to say as much as possible they will close their positions before the beginning of the next week starts. So if they open the position Thursday, then before Saturday morning they'll close their positions because they don't like waiting until Monday where the pattern and the new trend is going on.

Well the Day Traders usually use time frame 4 h or 1 h as a determinant of long term trends. As for the daily execution they prefer to use the time frame 15 m

. Due to the time frame and time short, trading profit target they are not too large. There is only in the range below 100 points. Most are about 30-50 points. But precisely because their profit target is not too big so they can perform the opening position several times in one day. In fact I never met a day trader who trade up to 13 of the lot in one day when he entered initial deposit only $ 500!! It belongs to a very active day trader

. There are many benefits to be gained when someone did a day trader. It primarily is on a initial deposit is done. A day trader can start only with a capital of $ 1000 only. Even some who had become able to develop a trading fund to hundreds of percent in a few months when they start from only $ 500 only. Nevertheless it was not advised to start trading only with a capital of $ 500 due to the magnitude of the risk that may occur if you are a beginner. However the capital could not be lied to. Do you guys agree with Pak a teacher kids?

Other benefits when you trade with a pattern day trader is on the multitude of opportunities that can be taken. Due to the profit target chased no more than 100 points, this opportunity can arise almost daily in various types of major currency pairs. If you're pretty clever, that prices are up or down in the waves, a day trader is able to get profit from there. The day trader not too dizzying a long-term trend as a Swinger. This is due to their trading is today.

Deficiencies in trading with patterns like this there are of course. If at a Swinger benefits there are at ease in the control position dah price, it is thus becoming a day trader constraint. A day trader must be strong enough to monitor the price movement several times each day. If not they can lose their chances in the opening position. It imposes on the magnitude of the possibilities in a day traders are experiencing psychological distress arising from price changes from second to second. You've opened a real account or real account is running know what I mean. On a real account, psychological point holds a very important role far exceed any pressure.

Other flaws are in excess of a day trader, namely the degree of activeness. The more active a person opens a position then the risk is also going to be getting bigger. So instead of getting profit, a day trader who is not adept at reading charts frequently experienced loss in large enough quantities in a short time.


scalper Scalping comes from the United Kingdom (scalp) which means it was fleas jump. Well with this type of scalping trading is indeed more or less adhered to this doctrine. Without downgrading the Scalper mean world, they often utilize a situation of price movement is very small and there was no means for a Swinger. For them, profits 10-15 points a day is already quite important is stablitasnya.

The intent of this by taking advantage of that, as small as the Scalper holds that it is a lot easier than chasing gains 100 points in a single tradenya. Often they also take the number of lots that are a lot more for one opening position compared to most traders. If with a capital of $ 2000 a Swinger open lot just as much as 2 lots in one transaction, the Scalper can open the position up to 5 times! How if there is a margin call? Well point margin call it for them is their Stop Loss point! But rather when profit by 10 points they earn, just imagine 10 x 5 = 50 lots. The same is not a day trader? But this time it's a lot easier because only targeted 10 points only. Not to mention due to only target profit 10 points, they can open a position many times up to a dozen times in one day. Hmm ... how active they are!

A scalper usually use a time frame of 1 h and 5 m in their trading. 1 h is useful to determine the major trends that are happening while the 5 m used as the decisive execution.

O Yes, for a scalper, spread extremely important role for them. The scalper often look for brokers with a very small spread. The smaller will be the better due to their difference in 1-2 points only very important meaning. That's why they used to trade on, brokers such as GAIN Capital (not a promotion lho hehehehe).

Advantages of trading with a model like this is easy it is We get the profit that we pursue. The movement of the 10 points can even be reached when the market is being very-very quiet and the exchanges of London and Newyork is currently closed! The liveliness of our opening position is also certainly a lot bigger than a Day Trader let alone a Swinger. Also included are capital need not be large at all. $ 1000 is already more than enough. Even $ 500 is not the issue.

The drawback? There are. The main problem is determining a Stop Loss point be taken. With the profit target only 10 points so if We want a balanced then SL we must be the same magnitude that is 10 points. But the problem is the same as the target of 10 points can be achieved easily then the Stop Loss limit of 10 points was not losing easy.

If so what if we set the SL by 30 points? Wouldn't it be so much easier to achieve a profit while the SL became much more loose? Correct. However Your profit in 3 x 1 x loss just everything was breakeven.

Well if Scalping without SL how? It is also no less difficult. Would indeed be far easier to achieve profit. But just imagine You have to wait for days on end because your position is negative but when you terfloating your profits only take 10 Points only! Isn't that weird? Our liability risk is up Margin Call level where almost all the funds We lost but we take advantage just 10 points! It really doesn't make sense.

OK it is a variety of trading methods used by traders in the world. It should be understood here that none of the trading methods that have been mentioned above better than other methods. Each method has its own successful people who have tried that method for years. But there is also just the losers thereby.

The key here is to find the right method of trading for yourself. Try to ask yourself how much time and capital do you have? Whether you are a busy in everyday work? If yes then join the Swingers. Or if you're happy with an adventure, join the Scalpers. There is no problem at all. All of that fits with your personality then it would be really useful to.
That needs to be emphasized here is the use of multiple time frame will greatly help you in determine the conditions that are going on in the market. A simple key in determining the time frame are: smaller time frame will always obey the larger time frame. It's important for you to understand. If you find Your H1 chart showing the direction is down and vice versa D1 you show up direction is either to wait until both are unidirectional. Or if you are forced to open position then follow the larger time frame! Because in a matter of a few hours in the future prices will indeed go down but in a matter of days the prices will keep going up and up!

Well how? This ends Our technical lessons. At the next session you will learn the so-called Fundamental Analysts. And don't forget to keep practicing the demo account. See you in the next article.
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